What 2021 will bring for government engagement
Neil shares his five predictions for social purpose engagement and advocacy for the coming year.
By Neil Pharaoh
It is a fool’s game to make predictions, however they are good fun, so here are my five “predictions” or trends for social purpose engagement, government engagement and advocacy in 2021 and what you can do to make sure you are on top of it.
Trend one: Voters are becoming more socially conscientious.
Talkwalker recently conducted a survey and its number one trend for business in 2021 was that socially conscientious consumers, stakeholders and advocates will force companies and government to engage more with topics like mental health, inclusivity and social justice, or become less relevant in 2021. The big leap is whether this transitions to governments taking the same approach, particularly as voting demographics are now skewing for the first time ever, against the baby boomer population.
My suspicion is that political stakeholders will come under more and more pressure around conscience-based issues, and demographics will accelerate that, as well as global trends. Australia being uninvited to speak on climate change at a world forum recently is an example of how conscientiousness is permeating (international) government decisions. Whether it will lead to a kinder and calmer parliament is still to be seen, but I suspect we will see more genuine mobilization of swing voters around this space. COVID has of course accelerated this, as people turn to plants, renovations, food, baking and everything in between to find connection and meaning.
Trend two: Contractorisation will become a public enemy.
Historically it has been casual work which has prompted the chagrin of labour organisations, but I think 2021 will see this shift – whether it is food or transport on demand, or aged care and disability care “delivered” via platform providers, I think the social purpose sector and government will be under pressure in this space in 2021. From community services, the NDIS, aged care packages and everything in between, in 10 short years we have gone from community sector delivery and control, to individual delivery and control, and while choice and control is a great thing, it comes with rights and responsibilities.
The Senate enquiry will kick things off but community organisations, which typically would compete with each other, will realise their enemy is investment banker and merchant banker based platforms, which are happy to take all of the cream, and shift all of the responsibility, in spaces where typically social purpose organisations used to play. Watch this space.
Trend three: I am not sure how the 2021 UN General Assembly declared year of Fruits and Vegetables will impact the Australian landscape.
I added this one partially in jest, but also seriously. Australia and the world is trending away from multilateralism and towards bilateralism, and with this comes ideals of shared responsibility and awareness. We are currently ranked 37th out of 166 countries on our sustainable development goal measures, and of the 17 measures, we are on track to achieve just one and have either significant or major challenges on almost all other goals.
The consequences of Australia no longer meeting targets on climate change, being way off track on the SDG’s, and continually reducing our aid budget means we won’t be a leader, nor even a follower, but tending towards a luddite across a broad arc of social and environmental policy. This will have real domestic implications, particularly with organisations which rely or work towards international rankings, targets or indicators.
Trend four: COVID will have a long tail effect on the social purpose sector and we need to start planning now.
While governments flush the economy with money as an immediate response, mid-term stimulus will be nonexistent as government tries to drag budgets back into surplus. If you are not thinking about funding contracts due in two to four years’ time now, you need to seriously start to put plans in place for when the knives come out to cut everything and anything to return some gold to the chest after COVID has passed. Smart social sector organisations are already planning contract renewals and re-renewals which are not due for two to three years, knowing it will be tough and they need to align every duck they can to pull off those contracts – there has never been a more critical time to think beyond the horizon with government.
Trend five: We are all knackered.
And everyone genuinely needs some down time over Christmas and the festive season. This year has tested all of us in many different ways. So, remember that switching off may be the only thing which saves your sanity as we buckle up for another turbulent 2021. The first federal sitting week is 2 February, are you ready?
Best wishes to you, your friends and family, and colleagues for this festive season, and see you all in 2021.
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